
\begin{table}
\caption{Heterogeneity analysis: Logistic regression results of upward and downward comparisons for ethnic conflict conditional on access to oil fields(1992-2020)}
\begin{center}
\scalebox{0.65}{
\begin{tabular}{l c c c c c c c c}
\hline
 & \multicolumn{4}{c}{DV: Conflict Onset} & \multicolumn{4}{c}{DV: Conflict Incidence} \\
\cline{2-5} \cline{6-9}
 & M1:Best & M2:Worst & M3:Median & M4:Nearest & M5:Best & M6:Worst & M7:Median & M8:Nearest \\
\hline
Relative poverty                               & $0.030$        & $0.105$        & $0.025$        & $0.008$        & $-0.009$       & $-0.019$       & $-0.083$       & $-0.088$       \\
                                               & $(0.093)$      & $(0.190)$      & $(0.121)$      & $(0.176)$      & $(0.066)$      & $(0.125)$      & $(0.081)$      & $(0.124)$      \\
Relative wealth                                & $-0.092$       & $0.015$        & $-0.185$       & $-0.007$       & $-0.662^{***}$ & $-0.032$       & $-0.718^{***}$ & $-0.465^{***}$ \\
                                               & $(0.206)$      & $(0.110)$      & $(0.240)$      & $(0.155)$      & $(0.230)$      & $(0.068)$      & $(0.220)$      & $(0.126)$      \\
Access to oil fields                           & $0.735^{**}$   & $0.780^{***}$  & $0.679^{**}$   & $0.692^{**}$   & $0.630^{***}$  & $0.750^{***}$  & $0.586^{***}$  & $0.641^{***}$  \\
                                               & $(0.316)$      & $(0.284)$      & $(0.314)$      & $(0.314)$      & $(0.239)$      & $(0.223)$      & $(0.232)$      & $(0.225)$      \\
Access to oil fields                           & $0.735^{**}$   & $0.780^{***}$  & $0.679^{**}$   & $0.692^{**}$   & $0.630^{***}$  & $0.750^{***}$  & $0.586^{***}$  & $0.641^{***}$  \\
                                               & $(0.316)$      & $(0.284)$      & $(0.314)$      & $(0.314)$      & $(0.239)$      & $(0.223)$      & $(0.232)$      & $(0.225)$      \\
Relative poverty $\times$ Access to oil fields & $0.045$        & $0.700$        & $0.030$        & $-0.018$       & $0.151$        & $1.211^{**}$   & $0.234$        & $0.100$        \\
                                               & $(0.188)$      & $(0.433)$      & $(0.248)$      & $(0.222)$      & $(0.153)$      & $(0.320)$      & $(0.196)$      & $(0.172)$      \\
Relative wealth $\times$ Access to oil fields  & $-0.145$       & $0.075$        & $-0.273$       & $-0.425$       & $0.313$        & $0.187$        & $0.270$        & $0.098$        \\
                                               & $(0.468)$      & $(0.164)$      & $(0.390)$      & $(0.383)$      & $(0.333)$      & $(0.139)$      & $(0.358)$      & $(0.240)$      \\
TEK status excluded                            & $0.128$        & $0.042$        & $0.438$        & $0.166$        & $-0.286^{*}$   & $-0.483^{***}$ & $-0.150$       & $0.120$        \\
                                               & $(0.251)$      & $(0.261)$      & $(0.234)$      & $(0.260)$      & $(0.180)$      & $(0.224)$      & $(0.190)$      & $(0.213)$      \\
Horizontal inequality                          & $-0.144$       & $-0.106$       & $-0.153$       & $-0.153$       & $-0.098$       & $-0.125$       & $-0.125$       & $-0.150$       \\
                                               & $(0.149)$      & $(0.188)$      & $(0.157)$      & $(0.183)$      & $(0.142)$      & $(0.128)$      & $(0.143)$      & $(0.159)$      \\
Previous rebellions                            & $1.291^{***}$  & $1.347^{***}$  & $1.274^{***}$  & $1.336^{***}$  & $1.645^{***}$  & $1.523^{***}$  & $1.632^{***}$  & $1.617^{***}$  \\
                                               & $(0.369)$      & $(0.347)$      & $(0.360)$      & $(0.355)$      & $(0.337)$      & $(0.325)$      & $(0.337)$      & $(0.324)$      \\
Status downgraded                              & $1.402^{***}$  & $1.422^{***}$  & $1.450^{***}$  & $1.417^{***}$  & $0.956^{**}$   & $0.986^{**}$   & $0.993^{**}$   & $1.067^{***}$  \\
                                               & $(0.454)$      & $(0.463)$      & $(0.457)$      & $(0.462)$      & $(0.555)$      & $(0.545)$      & $(0.549)$      & $(0.547)$      \\
Ln(Country GDP per capita)                     & $-0.302^{**}$  & $-0.293^{**}$  & $-0.270^{*}$   & $-0.335^{**}$  & $-0.012$       & $-0.037$       & $-0.018$       & $-0.058$       \\
                                               & $(0.176)$      & $(0.159)$      & $(0.174)$      & $(0.170)$      & $(0.090)$      & $(0.109)$      & $(0.102)$      & $(0.095)$      \\
Ln(Country population)                         & $0.053$        & $0.029$        & $0.066$        & $0.029$        & $0.297^{***}$  & $0.315^{***}$  & $0.314^{***}$  & $0.305^{***}$  \\
                                               & $(0.075)$      & $(0.071)$      & $(0.072)$      & $(0.077)$      & $(0.078)$      & $(0.069)$      & $(0.076)$      & $(0.073)$      \\
Peace Year                                     & $-0.307^{***}$ & $-0.308^{***}$ & $-0.302^{***}$ & $-0.307^{***}$ & $-0.654^{***}$ & $-0.656^{***}$ & $-0.650^{***}$ & $-0.656^{***}$ \\
                                               & $(0.058)$      & $(0.056)$      & $(0.057)$      & $(0.058)$      & $(0.059)$      & $(0.060)$      & $(0.060)$      & $(0.061)$      \\
Peace Year $^2$                                & $0.010^{***}$  & $0.010^{***}$  & $0.010^{***}$  & $0.010^{***}$  & $0.023^{***}$  & $0.022^{***}$  & $0.022^{***}$  & $0.023^{***}$  \\
                                               & $(0.002)$      & $(0.002)$      & $(0.002)$      & $(0.002)$      & $(0.003)$      & $(0.003)$      & $(0.003)$      & $(0.003)$      \\
Peace Year $^2$                                & $-0.000^{***}$ & $-0.000^{***}$ & $-0.000^{***}$ & $-0.000^{***}$ & $-0.000^{***}$ & $-0.000^{***}$ & $-0.000^{***}$ & $-0.000^{***}$ \\
                                               & $(0.000)$      & $(0.000)$      & $(0.000)$      & $(0.000)$      & $(0.000)$      & $(0.000)$      & $(0.000)$      & $(0.000)$      \\
Intercept                                      & $-2.311$       & $-2.045$       & $-2.868$       & $-1.670$       & $-6.756^{***}$ & $-6.873^{***}$ & $-6.915^{***}$ & $-6.640^{***}$ \\
                                               & $(1.854)$      & $(1.699)$      & $(1.848)$      & $(1.807)$      & $(1.682)$      & $(1.684)$      & $(1.779)$      & $(1.596)$      \\
\hline
AIC                                            & $650.459$      & $650.466$      & $646.872$      & $649.859$      & $1288.823$     & $1290.317$     & $1285.014$     & $1292.714$     \\
BIC                                            & $767.610$      & $767.617$      & $764.023$      & $767.010$      & $1407.159$     & $1408.654$     & $1403.350$     & $1411.051$     \\
Log Likelihood                                 & $-308.229$     & $-308.233$     & $-306.436$     & $-307.930$     & $-627.411$     & $-628.159$     & $-625.507$     & $-629.357$     \\
Deviance                                       & $616.459$      & $616.466$      & $612.872$      & $615.859$      & $1254.823$     & $1256.317$     & $1251.014$     & $1258.714$     \\
Num. obs.                                      & $7268$         & $7268$         & $7268$         & $7268$         & $7793$         & $7793$         & $7793$         & $7793$         \\
\hline
\multicolumn{9}{l}{\scriptsize{$^{***}p<0.01$; $^{**}p<0.05$; $^{*}p<0.1$}}
\end{tabular}
}
\label{tab:oil2}
\end{center}
\end{table}
